Why didn’t Microsoft win the Premiership rights for the new Xbox?

Microsoft Xbox One

The Microsoft Xbox One. Lovely console. Silly name.

The new Microsoft Xbox console looks like it will be an amazing piece of kit, with voice activation and what looks to be (no pun intended) some impressive image recognition too.

Microsoft is firmly focussing on the TV market. The current Xbox allows users to watch video on demand, but the new one will support live TV as well, with a fully integrated EPG (Electronic Programme Guide).

Many people have questioned whether the world needs another generation of games consoles, and many people have been suggesting Apple will release an Apple television or a decent version of their Apple TV product, which is currently too ring fenced to appeal to a mass market. Microsoft has answer both questions admirably, by providing a cutting edge games machine as well as a highly interactive STB (Set Top Box).

There had also been rumours that the new Xbox might not have an optical drive at all, that all games will be downloaded in a similar model to iOS devices. Microsoft has answered both end users who want a second hand games market, and the games developers’ business models by not making the console backwards compatible. So if you enjoy playing a specific game, you’ll need to either keep your existing Xbox console for that game, or buy a new version when it’s released for the new console.

Microsoft also announced a $400 million deal with the NFL to provide interactive TV experiences during matches. I question whether users want this level of interactivity during sport, but Microsoft (and the NFL) clearly believe many users do want it.

The surprise is that Microsoft didn’t win the rights from the Premiership football rights during the recent bidding with BT. BT want the Premiership to boost their BT Vision product. Winning the Premiership would have similarly boosted the adoption rates for the new Xbox. Perhaps Microsoft doesn’t want to go head to head with broadcasters, but this is probably inevitable (and underway) by supplying the de facto platform for Netflix.

The craziest part of the new Xbox is the name. During the announcement I saw a friend’s tweet which asked “Why is it called the Xbox one when it’s the third one? – asked by my son who’s seven year’s old” And apparently the Xbox one is what eBay sellers refer to the original Xbox in listings!

Billion Dollar-o-Gram Infographic

Billion Dollar o Gram 2013One of my favourite websites, Information is Beautiful, has released the 2013 version of their Billion Dollar-o-Gram infographic.

The information is fully backed up by sources.

Some key, staggering highlights:

  • The Worldwide TV industry is worth 3/5ths the value of Apple
  • Nice to see that humanity spends over 3 times as much on healthcare as military (I would have feared it would be the opposite way round)
  • The Illegal drugs market is worth 3/5ths of the cost of the war on drugs
  • OPEC revenue is ‘only’ twice as much as Apple’s capitalisation
  • Apple’s capitalisation ($500bn) is just short of Microsoft, Google and Amazon combined ($524bn)
  • The money spent on the Global Financial Crisis could have ended extreme poverty four times over (and still had money left over to triple the charitable donations by the US public)
  • The global gambling market is worth only slightly less than the worldwide global revenue from cannabis
  • Apple’s capitalisation is just short of the value of the worldwide global Beer market (in 2015)!

This week’s news: BT, Sir Alex, Waze and Shazam

BT SportIt’s been a really busy week at work, so here are my favourite links and stories of the week.

BT is offering free Premiership games on BT Sport channels to existing broadband customers. The Premiership rights cost BT £246m per season (and this excludes the production and marketing costs), so it’s a brave move by BT to bundle them for ‘free’.

This article from Harvard was my favourite article regarding Sir Alex Ferguson retiring.

A huge congratulations to my friends at Waze, which I’ve mentioned on this blog before. Facebook (and maybe Apple) appear to be in talks to buy Waze, one of the first crowd-sourced mapping applications, for a mere $1bn.

And while we’re talking about $1 billion, Shazam’s new Chief Executive has announced he wants Shazam to float for a billion. Last year Shazam had revenues of £21.8m and has never made a profit.

Bubble? What bubble?

This week in New York

One World Trade CenterI’ve been visiting our New York office this week, and had the privilege to meet many interesting people and companies.

Key points that stuck out were:

  • The American Airlines flight to New York last Sunday had free Wifi access for the entire journey. It’s very strange being able to iMessage Mrs H and the kids from the aeroplane, including sending them photos along the journey. And in case passengers’ batteries ran low from too much texting and surfing, there was a 3 pin UK electrical socket on every seat.
  • Whilst in New York, the antenna was erected on top of the Freedom Tower (or more correctly known as One World Trade Center), where the World Trade Centers once stood. The antenna makes the building 1,776 feet tall, which is the tallest building in the Western world. It was a memorable experience seeing the spire about to be raised the height of the building draped in the American flag.
  • Free Wifi is still relatively rare. All Starbucks have free Wifi, and some of the larger stores (Bloomingdales, Target, etc.). Bloomingdales deserves an award for having the longest terms of service to use the free Wifi. I was in a hurry and so I just pressed Accept.
  • Watching Piers Morgan was interesting because he interviews his subjects from such a UK mindset, which seems to wind them up (especially anything to do with gun control). Watching Twitter while his show was on transformed it into almost comedy entertainment, with some funny comments targeting him from the UK and the US.
  • FourSquare is still going strong. I checked into a few places which had over 100 people currently checked in (over 150 at JFK airport).

On Google Glasses, Xbox IllumiRoom and Windows 8

Here are some favourite links that I’ve been sharing over the last week:

Yes, that's a bookshelf on the left and a plant on the right

Yes, that’s a bookshelf on the left and a plant on the right

LittleOutliner.com is a super simple editor with autosave. Come to think of it, why doesn’t the Windows 8 notepad auto save? In fact, why isn’t Windows 8 notepad a full/ trimmed down version of OneNote?

Windows 8 shortcuts (Windows + I is the most useful)

Microsoft IllumiRoom demo video – the next generation of Xbox Kinect?

Review of Google Glasses, particularly interesting are the comments the author receives about the glasses.

How QR codes should work

Bus top with QR codeWhat is it with QR codes?

Has there ever been another technology that has been so misused and misunderstood?

QR codes should be the first step to seeing an advertisement in the ‘real world’ and buying it in one or two clicks. However their implementation has been completely misunderstood and that’s why they won’t be around for much longer.

How QR codes should work

Imagine this scenario. A customer is standing at a bus stop and sees a poster advert showing a piece of clothing. The customer wants to buy the item, so they point their smartphone at a QR code on the poster. The smartphone takes them to a simple screen asking for colour, size and so on, and then a payment process.

QR codes should be the technological vehicle to enable impulse purchases.

Ideally, the landing page will already know the following details about the customer:

  • Clothing size
  • Use the colour of the clothing on the poster
  • Payment details
  • Preferred delivery address

In the ideal situation, all the user needs to do is enter a security PIN number or a password, and the item will be dispatched to the customer straight away.

How QR codes do work

QR code at a bus stopI had to take my bicycle in for a service earlier this week, so I cycled there and caught a bus home. While waiting at the bus stop I saw an H&M advert for a dress, with a QR code next to it. I wondered how close the QR code would be to my ideal scenario.

I used my iPhone to look at the QR code and the results was the second worst scenario possible. The worst case scenario would have been a broken website.

What happened, was that the landing page was simply a link to Google, Bing and other Internet sites.

Playing devil’s advocate, perhaps the advertising company who owned the space for the bus stop poster may have been collecting the number of QR code clicks. However this isn’t a valid excuse because I shan’t be using their QR codes again.

If you are an e-commerce site, I recommend you take advantage of this poor implementations and advertising. Start offering single-click purchases from advert to confirmation. And let me know how you get on.

QR codes 101

QR code examplesThe photo opposite shows two adverts from an in-flight magazine that I saw recently (they weren’t facing each other in the original magazine). Both adverts have a QR code in the bottom corner of the ad.

The first question any self-respecting marketer should ask themselves is why put a QR code on an in-flight magazine. The user can’t zap the code and see the website on an aeroplane.

So the first rule, is use QR codes sparingly. Don’t use them at all on in-flight magazines.

Next, I ask you to look at the hotel advert closely. Are you capable of typing into a browser the domain name at the bottom of the advert next to the QR codes? I would imagine most people are capable. So there’s no point of having the QR code there, which goes to the exact same URL (I’ve tried it) as the human readable domain.

On the Wenger watches ad, the QR code is more sophisticated. The QR take you through to the Seaforce range of watches, which matches the model in the advert. That’s a start.

If you are thinking of using QR codes, do so sparingly. And if you still want to use one, please include a referrer code (you can make one up) to track how many people zapped the code.

Back to the first rule: if you’re using a QR code, make sure someone will have an Internet connection where they see the code.

Book review (and much more): The Intention Economy by Doc Searls

The Intention EconomyOn 6 October 2009, Endava hosted an event for all the Premier League Football clubs (and a handful of European ones too) called Football Club Website of the Future. It was to mark the end of the transition of the IMG Digital team over to Endava.

We had a number of high profile speakers at the event including some of the Premier League clubs, IMG, Facebook, and Deloitte, who produce the annual Deloitte Football Money League report.

At the event I gave the introduction/ welcome presentation, and discussed two key concepts based on the experience moving from IMG to Endava:

  1. Football clubs have unrivalled levels of loyalty – a fan might change clubs once in their lifetime, compared to moving around financial services companies every few years.
  2. Technology trends in the marketplace.

The technology trends became a regular part of all our future presentations and events. As I look back on the various industry conferences we’ve spoken at or hosted, I can see how they developed from the Football Club Website of the Future event.

The first trends we highlighted included the following:

  1. Content won’t be free for much longer. Content overly relies on the advertising model as a source of funding. In the future, users will pay tiny amounts per page or function (such as a web search on Google, etc.) and there will be a central ‘agency’ for distributing these micropayments back to the content author.
  2. The web needs an SSO (Single Sign On) system to be the single method to log on to all websites with the same username and password (or another form of authentication such as facial recognition or text message). Facebook Connect had been launched for little under a year when we hosted Football Club Website of the Future, and I thought it was a brilliant first attempt at a web-wide sign on system. However, I didn’t (and still don’t) think Facebook is a trusted brand that I would use for everything across the web. I wouldn’t use it for my tax returns, share dealing, pensions, and so on. I would want the SSO system provided by a fully trusted organisation such as Visa, Mastercard or HSBC. It probably wouldn’t be a government or a dotcom company.

These trends have evolved, and I’ve started documenting them in much more detail since reading The Intention Economy by Doc Searls.

I was recommended to read The Intention Economy by a client when we travelled to Romania to show them one of Endava’s delivery centres (where the project management, development and testing is executed). At dinner one night I went through some of the trends, and the client asked whether I’d read The Intention Economy. I hadn’t even heard of the book at the time. The client said that many of the trends ran parallel to Doc Searls’ thoughts.

When I returned to the UK I bought the book within an hour of landing.

When I started reading the book, it was a strange feeling. It was like someone reading back to me some of the presentations I’ve been giving for the last four years (only he is infinitely more articulate and structured!)

The book covers a dozen or so different topics for the future under the banner as a customer-centric economy. These include the Single Sign On concept above, the unsustainable advertising bubble, cookie tracking, modern legal contracts, so-called loyalty schemes, big data, ownership, and the core of the new economy: VRM.

I first reported about a VRM tool (it was a mobile app) that I’d seen on holiday in Israel last summer. I called it a personal CRM tool at the time, which Doc Searls calls VRM, for Vendor Relationship Management.

The concept of VRM or The Intention Economy is simple – we are constantly being pitched stuff all the time – buy this, buy that, this is why you need this or that. However technology should enable us to say “I want this thing, who wants to match the price I’m willing to pay?”

The example in the book is landing at an airport and entering into your VRM system “I want to hire a car, with 5 seats, and can hold 3 large suitcases, and I want to pay $x for 6 days”. Searls calls these ‘personal RFPs’ (Request For Proposals). After submitting this request, the hire companies will return a result with offers.

I don’t agree with everything in Doc Searls’ ecosystem.

He highlights the overuse of cookies, i.e. tracking technology. Although the use of cookies has become too much – his example is the top fifty childrens’ websites installed a total of 4,123 cookies seems extreme. These cookies are then used on other websites to make the advertising more relevant. However cookies are mainly used to track behaviours, not individuals.

The chapter on online loyalty is over simplified for the real world. I often give an analogy that website personalisation [via the use of cookies] is the online equivalent to an old fashioned shopkeeper who recognises customers when they walk into their shop. This is a good thing – I like how Amazon knows about me and recommends relevant products.

Whilst I completely agree with Searls’ key point that the advertising industry has become a huge bubble that now sustains such a large industry, it is necessary. If there was no advertising, customers simply wouldn’t know about new products or services. There needs to be a balance. In June last year I posted an article about Tencent in China, who have revenues of $1.5bn per quarter – not from advertising:

I find it fascinating that whilst most US/ UK B2C digital offerings are focussed on advertising models, especially Facebook and Google, Tencent are earning money from subscription models and e-commerce.

Why isn't The Intention Economy owned by Creative Commons?

Why isn’t The Intention Economy owned by Creative Commons?

Doc Searls is the editor of Linux Journal, so he is a strong advocate of open source. He puts his case for open source in the book, however it’s unbalanced and I see the software industry from the opposite side of the fence, where vendors do want to earn profit from selling software. He then moves on to discuss why Creative Commons (essentially open source Intellectual Property). At the end of that chapter I agreed with his thoughts on this, and decided so change some of the content strategy on this blog – make it more open and not hold back on personal thoughts. However, The Intention Economy book is copyright!

It’s a shame that Searls doesn’t have any retail experience. Although he cites a number of conversations with CEOs of huge retailers, they are completely biased towards their own model (e.g. of not having loyalty schemes) rather than providing a balanced argument.

The Intention Economy is the best business/ technology book I’ve read for a long time. I thoroughly recommend you read it. The style of the writing with lots of short chapters, and an opening argument and closing ‘so, then’ closing argument makes it easy reading.

Most importantly though, Doc Searls gets across how companies need to get back to customer centric organisations. The current organisational trend is that branding and marketing and advertising and other departments within an organisation are becoming more distant from paying customers, even during the recession.

We need to reverse the trend and put the customer first. This can be accomplished through changing corporate culture (making senior managers physically meet customers in their own environment) and systems such as VRM.

I’m delighted to see large organisations begin to do this. At the Visa conference last week, before I’d finished reading The Intention Economy, I could see how the CEO and CTO were discussing key concepts from the book – putting customers first.

Visa Insights 2013 – day two

Visa Insights Live Day 2Here are my notes from the second (and final) day of Visa Ins. The first day’s notes can be found here.

I only went to two of the presentations because it was a half day and I was covering a the Endava stand.

Again, apologies for brevity and any grammatical or layout issues.

E-commerce comes of age

Duncan Olboy. Helps merchants.

  • Ecommerce is 24% of Visa’s business
  • Ecommerce is growing twice as fast as face to face

Trends:

  • The rate of adoption of new technologies being adopted is quickening
  • 4G will accelerate user migration from face to face quicker
  • Customers want cloud services – it simplifies things for users and feels more natural
  • Digital goods are 24% of Visa transactions
  • Apple claim iPhone users use Siri once a week
  • There was a demonstration of the ease of a mobile payment on stage (BH: but it is any easier than using a card?)
  • 40% of users want their card details shielded from anyone across the internet. That is the core foundation of v.me
  • 25% want a quick checkout
  • PayPal was launched in 2009.  It’s the only wallet at scale
  • Merchants also want a quick checkout/wallet process to reduce abandonment
  • The live demo of v.me was based on receiving an email from a retailer
  • The wallet includes delivery information
  • The user interface auto detects the bank from the start of the user entering the card number
  • 3 live trials underway, 16 banks signed on to v.me
  • Phase 2 trials are planned
  • visa’s challenge is the demand for these new layers of the ecosystem keeps growing

Shane Happach, Chief Commercial Officer, e-commerce, Worldpay

Worldpay has £300bn turnover, 120 countries, 400,000 merchants, 200 payment types

Shane spoke about ‘selling’ v.me to retailers. 80pc of v.me responds to retailer challenges

  • Needs a differentiating experience for retailers
  • v.me needs to demonstrate benefits / incremental sales for retailers

Why has Worldpay committed to V.me?

  • “Low impact technically to implement”
  • Cost effective
  • Multichannel… Shane said in 5 years’ time, no one will mention multichannel, or even omni-channel

Discussion panel

Eric Rebour, E. Leclerc supermarkets

  • Customers have changed. Going to the supermarket isn’t fun or sociable anymore, people want to shop from home.
  • The move from supermarkets to the web was a security learning experience. Increasing credit card security meant a [20%!!!] drop in customer conversion.
  • Customers asked to use PayPal. However PayPal was cost prohibitive for supermarkets (the product margins aren’t high enough to support PayPal).
  • Leclerc chose V.me because the transaction fees are far lower
  • Very customer focussed (quite usual for supermarkets). Customers want to find something easily, quickly, and secure.
  • 25% of Leclerc food orders are done on a mobile phone. Average basket size on a mobile is 42 items, so it’s not a short experience. It’s probably during a commute.

Duncan Olby

  • The payment process needs to be quick and easy. Making users think about the process any more than the physical equivalent will increase form abandonment. (BH: Through the event there was lots of discussion around the invisible, seamless experience).

Benjamin Ensor, Forrester

  • Quick and easy: that’s why people want to use a mobile device for bank maintenance, because the login process is far easier than the web equivalent of long username and password.

Closing Plenary

Peter Ayliffe, Steve Perry and Sir Stuart Rose

  • Reminder of over 20% of visa transactions are ecommerce
  • Smartphone grows at 30% year on yar
  • One bank at the conference said their mobile app is used on average 26 times per month.

Peter gave some experiences of his own family:

  • His 81 year old father who buys art supplies from Amazon
  • His son’s girlfriend does their grocery shopping online
  • His younger son moved home and his first priority when he moved to a new house was to get the TV working and streaming content from his phone to the TV
  • His oldest son uses a NikeID chip and Spotify on his mobile. The previous day he’d received a cheque through the post from a friend.
  • Peter said his family isn’t unique (which is why the audience can relate to these scenarios). It’s not even unique in the UK, its right across Europe.

His comments on how Visa has delivered NFC:

  • Visa process over 10m transactions a month in Poland
  • London buses have adopted NFC cards, and bearing in mind there is already an Oyster contactless card in use, there have been 1m payments on buses, 90% of which are on Visa
  • The average person checks their mobile device every 6.5 mins, including checking the time
  • £1.7m downloads of the RBS app with visa payments, in the first 10 days
  • V.me is unique. It shields the card holder for the customer and moves the liability shift from the retailer. And it will be branded as the bank.

The Financial Services moving toward a Financial Information Services company:

  • Financial Services companies need to focus on the information that they have. Financial Services currently move money around the system. Soon they will be moving information around.
  • The information industry already has 50% of the revenue of the Financial Services industry.

Google can’t see the end sale take place. Visa can. This is Visa’s Unique Selling Point over Google, and pretty much any other company.

Visa Insights 2013 – day one

Visa Insights 2013I’m have been very fortunate to have been invited to Visa’s Insight Live  2013 event. Insight Live is all about the trends in the payments industry, and attendees include the banks (Visa’s members), retailers and mobile network operators.

It’s difficult to do the event any justice in a single post, so this post here covers the first day. Also, because Endava has a stand at the exhibition, I was limited to the number of talks I could attend, so I tried to pick three of them, wisely.

In order to improve timeliness, here are the key points based on my quick typing during the sessions – please forgive any grammatical and formatting errors.

Opening Plenary – Peter Ayliffe, President and CEO Visa Europe

Peter Ayliffe gave the opening plenary. The video introduction was nothing short of outstanding, across three separate screens. Visa should put the video on YouTube in HD for full effect.

Here are some of the highlights of Peter’s speech.

  • By 2020 50% of visa cardholders will be using a mobile device for visa payment
  • The future of payments is about change, change, change
  • Visa has double digit growth in revenue
  • Fraud is at the lowest rate ever
  • The Visa digital wallet (V.me) now available, as in the technology is in place
  • Back to change… “we need to embrace the change”… banks, retailers and mobile operators
  • There is pressure from the regulators to change the business model
  • The barriers for new entrants are so low, which enables many new competitors
  • The big Internet companies such as Google, Facebook, etc. are spending huge amounts of money in this area

Peter went on to describe the music industry, which itself has undergone huge change in the Internet revolution.

  • The record labels used to control the whole industry enjoying massive margins
  • Now there are over 70 major providers – Spotify, iTunes with the latter now the biggest music retailer – bigger than Walmart
  • It was Napster that came along and changed the model
  • Digital revenues are growing much bigger than physical
  • Last year was the first year since 1999 that revenues for the labels grew
  • The total revenue (the pie) has grown though – new opportunities from live events, merchandising, etc.
  • That perfect storm is hitting financial services today
  • The model is changing, Financial Services organisations are now in the information business
  • Organisations should embrace the change, build a new eco system, and transition to a new model.

Peter said its vital all the organisations present don’t stand still, they need to keep innovating.

Why would a bank choose Visa? It’s low cost and European centric (remember that Peter is the CEO of Visa Europe, a separate company to Visa Inc. in the USA).

  • 20% of Visa’s revenue is going onto the new eco-system.
  • Visa is the enabler, the bank is the wallet brand
  • Visa sees huge amount of information very quickly, but using the information is difficult, Visa is the most informational fortunate sector with data because of its visibility internationally and across retailers.
  • Everyone in the ecosystem needs to help the retailers with more sales, help the retailers
  • They needs to help track, analyse and improve. And help with marketing.
  • Don’t ask the retailers to spend more money on advertising or promotions. Help them with revenue.

Peter finished by saying that this is the most exciting time to work in payments. “Change is exciting”. Great opportunities lay ahead.

“Seize the opportunity”.

Steve Perry, Executive Vice President, Relationship Management, Sales and Commercial Development

Steve started off describing why there weren’t just banks at the event, there were major retailers and Mobile Network Operators (MNOs) too.

  • Visa can link the MNO with retailers
  • In 1990 there was $60bn of revenue passed through Visa cards. Now it’s $60bn that every 10 days
  • Visa is aiming for €1 in €5 in 2015 from the current €1 in €6.75
  • In the UK its £1 in £3 are on Visa cards
  • The USP of Visa is its scale, strength and sophistication
  • For scale, it currently handles 1,500 transactions per second

There are two key challenges for Visa:

1. Innovate the business model. Work out how other sectors create value and price.

Look at the digital economy. For Google, 90% of their revenue comes from Pay Per Cick advertising. There can be no sale, yet there is still a charge to advertisers. In terms of charges, when buying a car – it costs around £25 for a single click, for a consumer to show interest (i.e. the consumer might not buy one).

Visa wants to provide targeted marketing offers. It needs to be no win no fee. No sale, no fee. Visa will create a marketplace for sales opportunities.

2. Convergence. The Internet is too complicated for users.

Many devices connect to the internet. We have credentials in different places. There are many different passwords, all with different criteria (uppercase, numbers, symbols, lengths). The user experience is too complicated. It takes 21 clicks on Steve’s digital banking app to find a balance. Visa will Follow the itunes cloud concept for the new ecosystem.

The mantra is SOLID:

  • Security
  • Open (for other products)
  • Leading (market leading)
  • Issuer branding (targeted marketing activities branded as the member bank)
  • Dependable (the Visa brand promise)

Tech Trends – Adam Banks, CTO Visa Europe

David Rowan the editor of Wired magazine and Adam Banks, the CTO of Visa Europe, had a conversation on the stage about the key trends Visa see in the marketplace. These trends are published in a report due for release next Tuesday (and I will be able to review it then).

For the moment, here are the key points that I tweeted during the session:

David raised how there are now virtual currencies (such as BitCoin) as new challengers:

It was interesting how Adam Banks, the CTO of Visa Europe, saw how consumer devices are so key to the future – everything from the Raspberry Pi upwards:

On consumerisation of technology, do we need cards, or even card readers?

I’m reading The Intention Economy, and it’s revolutionised my thoughts of CRM and data. I’ll cover this separately. For the moment, the way Adam was positioning the value of Big Data, it is partly aligned to pro-consumer:

Technology has become so complex. I’ve covered this a few times, from the point of view of IT departments – multiple browsers, devices, etc. but it’s also confusing for users. Visa’s view is to make payments automatic, such as the London congestion charge, or Oyster top up (I just question whether this is any different to direct debit):

Some thought provoking comments about fraud:

The first day of the conference has been really interesting. I’ll cover tomorrow’s sessions as soon as I can. One thing is for sure – the payments industries recognises it’s in a rapidly changing market, and wants to change. How quickly it is able to do so, remains to be seen.